Logan Gilbert and the Best MLB DFS Picks to Target at Draft Kings on Thursday
I’m taking a break from handing out my favorite MLB DFS stacks. Down the road, I aim to offer just about everything, but currently I’m but one DFS assasin.
I can only do so much.
That said, I am still personally playing the MLB DFS main slate at Draft Kings on Thursday, so I thought I’d scrounge together my top MLB DFS picks. You can probably glean what some of my favorite stacks will be based off of these plays, too, of course.
With that, I’ll go over my favorite arms and some of the sticks I’ll be targeting. Let’s dive into the best MLB DFS picks for 2/25/23.
Logan Gilbert, SP, Seattle Mariners ($9.9k)
Gilbert may very well be a trap, but this slate is awful for reliable pitching. The reality is he’s the second best raw fantasy points play on the night, and he’ll be at home against Oakland.
The Athletics are barely trying to field a competitive lineup these days, and they have a 24.5% whiff rate against right-handed pitching.
They do sport some sneaky power, but Gilbert has a 30% K rate, doesn’t walk batters, and doesn’t give up the long ball much.
He also has a filthy slider.
That’s beautiful, but it’s also somewhat worth noting that he tosses it 33% of the time against righty bats, and Oakland’s guys beyond Brent Rooker have trouble with that pitch.
Rooker is always in play as a one-off bat, but the A’s don’t look appealing here.
It’s a really great spot for Gilbert, so we shouldn’t get cute here. Gilbert is a way better play than Logan Webb or Aaron Nola, so I don’t even see the need to fire up A’s hedge stacks (although I’ll have to fight the urge to do so).
Carlos Carrasco, SP, New York Mets ($7k)
Nothing about Carrasco actually looks good. He certainly wasn’t great in his return from the IL. However, he’s a decent price, this isn’t a great pitching slate, and you do need a second arm to go to war with on DK.
That, and he gets a beatable Cubs team and the wind is blowing in at Wrigley Field.
This play could easily backfire, but Carrasco was very good once and he should stumble into a positive outing eventually. Why not now?
Adley Rutschman, C, Baltimore Orioles ($4.9k)
There are a few interesting catchers on this slate. I also like Cal Raleigh and William Contreras.
However, nobody offers the upside Rutschman does at this position. He brings serious power to the table, and clears the next closest option by almost two full fantasy points.
Contreras is the best value on this slate, but Adley feels like a very safe play with monster upside at Yankee Stadium.
LaMonte Wade Jr., 1B, San Francisco Giants ($3k)
The only issue I have with Wade is that he’s projecting to be the chalkiest 1B option on the main slate at Draft Kings.
Still, this dude does not strikeout, he gets a huge park upgrade, and he has the best projection at the position tonight.
Sporting a clean .202 ISO and .405 wOBA against right-handers – plus facing a rusty Julio Teheran – also makes him look appealing.
Owen Miller, 2B, Milwaukee Brewers ($2.7k)
Miller just keeps slaying, so why go away from him? The hometown product hasn’t mashed righties in 2023, but he still has a .351 wOBA and doesn’t whiff nearly as much as his fellow Brewers.
He’s also at home in that same hitter’s haven Wade gets to work in tonight, and he will ultimately spend most of his time against Logan Webb. Miller has been ablaze and he wrecks against righties.
Here’s what he did yesterday.
Have mercy on that poor ball’s life, sir.
With dongs in three of his last five games, can he keep it going tonight? At this price, I don’t mind rolling the dice to find out.
J.D. Davis, 3B, San Francisco Giants ($3.7k)
This Giants vs. Brewers game looks pretty appealing on paper, and Davis actually has the best numbers of any Giants stick against right-handed pitching.
Davis sports a stellar .243 ISO and a .385 wOBA, and like Wade, gets to face Teheran.
Add in the huge park upgrade, and Davis and his San Fran teammates look awfully attractive tonight.
Trea Turner, SS, Philadelphia Phillies ($5k)
This could be a good slate to pay up at SS. Willy Adames is a good price, but nobody else really stands out. That could have me falling in love with Trea, even if his hitting has fallen off a cliff this year.
We know Turner is a good hitter by nature, so his season .250 batting average shouldn’t be taken as gospel.
That, and he’s been heating up a bit with a hit in seven of his last nine games.
Turner and the rest of his Phillies brethren get a nice matchup with Dylan Dodd, who has a nasty 6.46 ERA and a disturbingly low 10% K rate so far in 2023.
Turner has not excelled against lefties this season, and he is expected to be very chalky. I don’t know if I really care, though.
Jarred Kelenic, OF, Seattle Mariners ($4.9k)
If you need a full stack to roll with, the M’s are certainly near the top of the line. I’ll single out Kelenic, however, as it’s possible he’s a little contrarian due to the L vs. L situation.
Kelenic has murdered southpaws this year, however.
- .372 ISO
- .445 wOBA
You can use him as part of a full stack, or just fire him up by himself. Teoscar Hernandez (.295 ISO) also looks really good, and both of these guys face JP Sears, who has a very low 10% K rate against lefties and is giving up a staggering .276 ISO to right-handed hitters.
That does it for today’s top MLB DFS picks. Hopefully these plays help you win tonight. Good luck!
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